Israel continues to tighten the noose on Gaza. With fuel supplies cut again* Gaza's main powerplant went off-line,causing a strip-wide blackout:
"As far as I'm concerned, all the residents of Gaza can walk and have no fuel for their cars, because they have a murderous terrorist regime that doesn't allow people in the south of Israel to live in peace," said Prime Minister Olmert
And things could be about to get a whole lot worse. The U.N. gives a lifeline of food aid to most of Gaza's 1.4 residents--and the U.N. is about to suspend deliveries:
"We are going to have to suspend operations on Thursday or Friday... because we are running out of plastic bags we use for food, and we are running out of fuel," said Chris Gunness, spokesman for the United Nations Relief and Works Agency.
I understand why Israel has been cutting off supplies. Hamas has firing rockets into Israel. (In one survey, about 90 percent of residents of Sderot said a rocket had landed on their block or one next to it.) The problem is that Israel's response, in addition to be understandable is also disastrous.
As one Israeli columnist wrote earlier this week, "“The objective of the operation in Gaza is to prevent the Qassam fire. But the operation in Gaza is causing Qassams to be fired. The Qassam fire will, in turn, bring about the next operation in Gaza, which will lead to the next round of Qassam fire.”
What's needed is a way to break out of the cycle.
That's not to say that Israel shouldn't bust out the sticks when Hamas does things like fire rockets into towns. But those sticks need to also be balanced with the potential for carrots. (My feelings on groups like Hamas is don't worry so much about labels--about who they "are"--and focus on changing their actions, through both carrots and sticks.) Also, when it comes to the sticks, you should try to calibrate them to maximize their pain for those in power while minimizing the pain for the population in general. A complete blockade of Gaza is just about the opposite of that approach.
That's not just a humanitarian concern It's a national security one. After all, failed states don't make good neighbors.
Israel's policy reminds me of its approach to the July 2006 war with Hezbollah, when it busted up Lebanon's infrastructure and caused millions of Lebanese to flee. The notion was that it would force Lebanese to turn on Hezbollah. Now, say what you want about how things are going in Lebanon right now, but if you think Israel improved its position to reigning hell on Lebanon, well, I have an economic blockade to sell you.
* Israel is publicly blaming Hamas for allegedly manufacturing the fuel crisis and essentially diverting fuel from Gaza's power station. But I'm skeptical. Here's what Haaretz said about that:
The Jerusalem sources said the fuel supply to Gaza was tens of percent less than planned, a problem exacerbated by the closure.
UPDATE: Israel opens the spigot just a wee:
Defense Minister Ehud Barak agreed Monday to allow a one-time shipment of diesel fuel and medical supplies into the Gaza Strip, after an Israeli-imposed closure left much of the coastal area without essential supplies.