Reason for (a Sliver) of Hope?

As I mentioned in TP, it looks like Hezbollah has a new rocket that can reach Tel Aviv or farther. The question is, why haven't they sent it down the coast yet? One commenter on DefenseTech speculates:

Assuming Israel's intelligence is correct on Hezbollah's missile capabilities, the fact that the longer-range missiles have not been used could help confirm two common assertions:

1) Hezbollah's goals, parallel to its attacks, are limited (so far); this in turn, given Hezbollah's general attitude towards Israel, implies that

2) Hezbollah is in fact constrained by a combination of internal politics and Lebanese domestic politics.

These may both be something of a stretch, but regardless, any restraint on Hizbollah's side gives reason for hope.

Posted by: Eric  at July 14, 2006 10:38 AM

That's not me quoting myself. But he  raises a good point anyway.

P.S. And about those two rockets that hit Haifa yesterday. Hezbollah knows that's a major escalation and it denies launching the rockets. Here's the scary thing: Maybe they're telling the truth. The long-range rockets are made in Iran, a few weeks ago  Israeli intel sources told Time "the long-range rockets are under the direct command of officers of Iran's Revolutionary Guards." Maybe it wasn't Hezbollah escalating with the Haifa attack after all...

P.P.S. Notice Haifa hasn't yet been attacked again.

Comments

[AbuNudnik]

Eric at DefenseTech mentions the possibility that internal politics and Lebanese politics explains why Hiz'b'allah has not hit Tel Aviv leaves out a more obvious reason: their commanders in Teheran don't believe the time is ripe. The real question for me is: what is Israel waiting for? A prediction: The Israeli army stopped 5 miles from Damascus in 1967. It won't be stopped again by a phony cease-fire.